SNP pull further ahead of Tories and Labour

The Kantar poll of 18+adults’ Westminster voting intentions, collected between 5^th and 9^th July 2018, gives the following percentages:

• SNP             39%
• Conservatives 20%
• Labour 19%
• Lib Dems             4%
• Other 5%
• Prefer not to say 14%

This gives SNP support alone equal to the combined Conservative and Labour support. The raw data actually put the SNP 1 ahead, with 34 respondents as opposed to 33 (17 and 16) for Conservatives and Labour.

Also, of interest, the SNP attracted 40% of female respondents and only 30% of male respondents but a whopping 61% of the under 55s.

The recent Wings/Panelbase figures were:

• SNP 38%
• Conservatives 27%
• Labour 25%
• Liberal Democrats 7%
• Greens 2%

While the quite large percentage of ‘prefer not to say’ respondents, in the Kantar poll, limits comparisons between the two polls, I am not aware of any reason to think they are likely to represent…